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Australian shares plummet 1.4 percent as inflation surges to 4 percent, stoking rate hike fears

Morgan Stanley analysts expect an August rate hike, which may further weaken domestic trading conditions
Australian shares plummet 1.4 percent as inflation surges to 4 percent, stoking rate hike fears
The Reserve Bank of Australia previously indicated a readiness to raise rates if inflation remained stubbornly high.

Australian shares plummeted over 1 percent on Thursday, with the S&P/ASX 200 index tumbling 1.4 percent to 7671.3 – marking its lowest point since May.

Soaring inflation fuels rate hike fears

Latest data shows Australia’s inflation in May surged to 4 percent, far exceeding expectations and stoking fears of an impending interest rate hike from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). The Central Bank previously indicated a readiness to raise rates if inflation remained stubbornly high. Consequently, analysts at Morgan Stanley now anticipate a rate hike in August, which could dampen domestic trading conditions further.

Impact on rate-sensitive sectors

The inflation data has hurt interest rate-sensitive financial stocks in Sydney, which dropped 1.7 percent, along with the heavyweight mining sector. BHP Group and Rio Tinto shares were down 1 percent and 0.7 percent respectively. Additionally, gold and energy stocks slumped, dragging down the broader market.

Market anxiety over potential rate hikes

The sell-off in Australian shares underscores the market’s anxiety over potential rate hikes. The decline in financial, mining, and real estate stocks highlights the broader economic susceptibility to tightening monetary policy. Investors should keep an eye on sectors sensitive to interest rates and anticipate short-term volatility as the RBA‘s next move looms.

Read more: Australia’s inflation hits five-month high in April at 3.6 percent annually with 4.1 percent core rate

Global implications

With global markets keeping a close watch on inflation data, the upcoming U.S. personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index release holds significant weight. As the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation measure, it could influence the Fed’s interest rate decisions, consequently impacting global financial markets. Furthermore, the interlinked nature of these economies suggests that developments in Australian inflation and subsequent rate hikes may signal broader trends and economic shifts worldwide.

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